2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC# 6187449 (01/2024)

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. The U.S. equity market's rally at the end of 2023 has left stocks overvalued, with little room for error. Analysts' estimates for 2024 corporate earnings may be too optimistic, given a likely tapering in U.S. economic growth. Markets may also be overestimating the number of Fed rate cuts in 2024.

What is Morgan Stanley projection for 2024? ›

Recent economic indicators have prompted Morgan Stanley Research to revise its forecast for U.S. economic growth, now projecting 2.3% for 2024 and 2.1% for 2025, up from previous estimates of 1.9% and 1.4%, respectively.

What is the outlook for the stock market in 2024? ›

As a whole, analysts are optimistic about the outlook for stock prices in 2024. The consensus analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,090, suggesting roughly 8.5% upside from current levels.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market in 2024? ›

Note to Investors: Stay Calm and Carry On

Stock market investors may be anxious, but as the old saying goes, "There's no need to panic." "While we maintain a positive view on the U.S. stock market in 2024, there are a range of risk factors that could derail the current bull market," Dilley says.

Is Morgan Stanley a good stock to buy now? ›

MS currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Over the past three months, shares of Morgan Stanley have rallied 24%, underperforming the industry's growth of 32.1%.

What is the best investment for 2024? ›

Bankrate's AdvisorMatch can connect you to a CFP® professional to help you achieve your financial goals.
  1. Growth stocks. Overview: In the world of stock investing, growth stocks are the Ferraris. ...
  2. Stock funds. ...
  3. Bond funds. ...
  4. Dividend stocks. ...
  5. Value stocks. ...
  6. Target-date funds. ...
  7. Real estate. ...
  8. Small-cap stocks.

Do Morgan Stanley analysts see the Fed ending QT in 2024 after rate cut? ›

(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley analysts predicted the Federal Reserve will stop reducing the size of its balance sheet in 2024 after cutting interest rates for the first time the previous December.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

Is 2024 a good year to buy stocks? ›

Anthony Denier, CEO of the trading platform Webull, says he believes the stock market will ultimately post a positive return in 2024 as investors anticipate interest rate cuts by the Fed. However, he adds, we probably won't see as big of a rally as we did in 2023.

What is the stock market prediction for 2025? ›

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says. The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.

How long should you leave your money in the stock market? ›

Stock market investments should be held as part of a long-term investment plan, which means you shouldn't expect to need the money for at least five years, if not longer. However, sometimes goals change, so it's important to reevaluate them periodically.

When should you cash out your stocks? ›

If something fundamental about the company or its stock changes, that can be a good reason to sell. For example: The company's market share is falling, perhaps because a competitor is offering a superior product for a lower price. Sales growth has noticeably slowed.

How hard is it to get your money out of the stock market? ›

Yes, you can pull money out of a brokerage account with a bank account transfer, a wire transfer, or by requesting a check. You can only withdraw cash, so if you want to withdraw more than your cash balance, you'll need to sell investments first.

Is Morgan Stanley a safe place to invest? ›

Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account. Yes. Accounts on E-Trade from Morgan Stanley offer double the insurance coverage compared to most other banks. Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account.

What are analysts saying about Morgan Stanley? ›

Morgan Stanley's analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 17 Wall Streets Analysts.

Which is better, Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley? ›

Profit and Revenue: Despite similar challenges, the banks reported divergent profit figures. Morgan Stanley's profit dipped by 8.5%, while Goldman saw a more significant drop of 33%. However, in terms of revenue, Morgan Stanley edged ahead with a 2% rise, whereas Goldman registered a 1% decrease.

What is the 30 for 2025 Morgan Stanley? ›

  • Communication Services – 10.08% Alphabet, Inc. ...
  • Consumer Discretionary – 13.33% Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. ...
  • Consumer Staples – 6.75% Costco Wholesale Corp. ...
  • Energy – 6.65% Cheniere Energy, Inc. ...
  • Financials – 20.00% American Express Company. ...
  • Health Care – 13.26% ...
  • Industrials – 13.26% ...
  • Information Technology – 6.64%
Mar 23, 2023

What is the outlook for Morgan Stanley? ›

The average price target for Morgan Stanley is $101.71. This is based on 17 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $118.00 ,the lowest forecast is $89.00. The average price target represents 10.42% Increase from the current price of $92.11.

What is the real estate outlook for Morgan Stanley? ›

Real estate has re-priced meaningfully over the last two years; returns following periods of re-pricing have typically exceeded historical averages. Strength in real estate fundamentals should support rent growth for high quality assets in sectors backed by long-term demand drivers.

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