What Depressed the Consumer? The Household Balance Sheet and the 1973-75 Recession | Brookings (2024)

Research

BPEA | 1977 No. 1

Discussants: Robert J. Gordon and

What Depressed the Consumer? The Household Balance Sheet and the 1973-75 Recession | Brookings (1)

Robert J. Gordon Stanley G. Harris Professor of the Social Sciences - Northwestern University

Saul H. Hymans

SHH

Saul H. Hymans University of Michigan

1977, No. 1

THE RECESSION of 1973-75 was the most severe economic contraction in the postwar era. By the first quarter of 1975, real gross national product had declined nearly 7 percent from its 1973 peak, about twice the decline in real GNP from peak to trough in 1957-58, the most severe previous postwar recession. Why was the recent recession so severe? What were the forces behind this sharp drop in aggregate demand? One salient feature of the 1973-75 period was the unusually unfavorable shift in the balance-sheet position of American households. Recent theoretical and empirical research on the “life cycle” and “liquidity” hypotheses—both of which stress the importance of the consumer’s balance-sheet position to consumer expenditure decisions’—suggests that this might be an important contributor to the severity of the recession.

What Depressed the Consumer? The Household Balance Sheet and the 1973-75 Recession | Brookings (2024)

FAQs

What caused the recession of 1973-1975? ›

The 1970s economic crisis largely came as a result of the oil embargo imposed by Arab oil producers against the U.S. (and indirectly the OECD) for its support of Israel during the 1973 Yom Kippur War.

What economic factors caused the economic recession in 1974? ›

Probably more than in most business cycles of the past, the 1973-1974 slowdown-and-recession sequence was influenced by cost increases affecting food, fuel, and raw materials, and by supply restrictions, which tend to produce rising prices along with falling output.

What was the major cause of the recession in the 1970s? ›

Among the causes were the 1973 oil crisis, the deficits of the Vietnam War under President Johnson, and the fall of the Bretton Woods system after the Nixon shock.

Which event contributed to the change in the annual growth rate in 1973-1974 shown on the graph? ›

Explanation: The economy actually grew in 1973 by 5.65%, but then it fell sharply, and fell byn -0.5 in 1974. The reason for this drop was the 1973 oil crisis, after several Oil-exporting Arab Nations, launched an embargo against countries that had supported Israel in the Yom Kippur War, among these, the United States.

What happened in 1973 financial crisis? ›

The price of oil per barrel first doubled, then quadrupled, imposing skyrocketing costs on consumers and structural challenges to the stability of whole national economies. Since the embargo coincided with a devaluation of the dollar, a global recession seemed imminent.

What event in 1973 created a recession in the United States? ›

Ultimately, the oil crisis of 1973 and the accompanying inflation was a result of many factors culminating in a perfect economic storm.

What event severely weakened the US economy in 1973? ›

Answer and Explanation: In 1973, OPEC, the Oil of Petroleum Exporting Companies, made up in large part by Arab countries retaliated against the U.S. by issuing an embargo on their members to prevent the sale of oil to the United States.

What was the worst recession in history? ›

In the United States, the Great Recession was a severe financial crisis combined with a deep recession. While the recession officially lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, it took many years for the economy to recover to pre-crisis levels of employment and output.

What caused a US recession in 1974 Quizlet? ›

What caused a U.S. recession in 1974? The U.S. recession in 1974 was caused by the Oil Crisis.

Why was inflation so high in 1974? ›

In 1974, the FOMC focused on nonmonetary factors affecting inflation—such as government budget deficits, oil price shocks, and “excessive” price and wage increases by firms and labor unions—as opposed to monetary policy.

What happened in the 1970s that was bad? ›

The United States faced political turmoil as President Richard Nixon resigned amid the Watergate scandal, and in Chile Augusto Pinochet overthrew the democratically elected government. Also making news were the massacre at the Munich Olympics and the Iran hostage crisis.

Did prices go down after 70s inflation? ›

Eventually, aggressive monetary policy tightening in the late 1970s and early 1980s sharply reduced inflation in advanced economies and established central bank credibility, although often at the cost of deep recessions (Goodfriend 2007).

Was there a recession in 1973 to 1975? ›

At the time the recession of 1973-75 was considered a severe recession. It was the most severe since World War II. The Economic Report of the President for 1975 starts with the lines: The economy is in a severe recession.

Which was the largest producer sector in 1973 to 1974? ›

The primary sector was the largest producing sector in 1973 because the primary sector had a 45% share in GDP because the majority of the population was involved in agriculture due to lack of economic development.

What happened to the economy in 1974? ›

In the two years from 1972 to 1974, the American economy slowed from 7.2% real GDP growth to −2.1% contraction, while inflation (by CPI) jumped from 3.4% in 1972 to 12.3% in 1974. The Dow reached its lowest level, 577.60 points, on December 6, 1974.

What happened to the US economy in 1973? ›

THE RECESSION of 1973-75 was the most severe economic contraction in the postwar era. By the first quarter of 1975, real gross national product had declined nearly 7 percent from its 1973 peak, about twice the decline in real GNP from peak to trough in 1957-58, the most severe previous postwar recession.

What was the 1973 recession called? ›

The 1973 oil crisis, a quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC, coupled with the 1973–1974 stock market crash led to a stagflation recession in the United States.

What happened in 1975 in American economy? ›

The economy began to emerge from its recession in the late spring of 1975. An upturn in the gross national product and industrial production was evident in the summer months and early fall. Inflation began to OA falling , from double‐digit figures, at an annual rate, to 7 to 8 percent.

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